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LETTER TO THE EDITOR  
Year : 2017  |  Volume : 10  |  Issue : 4  |  Page : 1070
Estimated imported Zika virus infection from Thailand: A mathematical model simulation analysis


Suvannhabhumi Clinical Training, Research and Development Center, Institute of Natural Medicine Science Development and Establishment Project, Surindra Rajabhat University, Surin Province, Surin, Thailand

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Date of Web Publication5-Oct-2017
 

How to cite this article:
Wiwanitkit V. Estimated imported Zika virus infection from Thailand: A mathematical model simulation analysis. Ann Trop Med Public Health 2017;10:1070

How to cite this URL:
Wiwanitkit V. Estimated imported Zika virus infection from Thailand: A mathematical model simulation analysis. Ann Trop Med Public Health [serial online] 2017 [cited 2019 Sep 19];10:1070. Available from: http://www.atmph.org/text.asp?2017/10/4/1070/196671


Dear Sir,

Zika virus infection is the present world crisis. The disease is already seen around the world. Of interest, the Zika virus infection can be seen in the area where the mosquito vector, Aedes spp., does not exist. This is similar to dengue, which shares the same mosquito vector. The imported infection is an interesting situation that explains the emerging of the infection in the new nontropical settings. Here, the author uses the technique described by Polwiang [1] for estimating imported Zika virus infection from Thailand. The modified mathematical model is used. For modification, interrelationship between dengue and Zika virus as recently reported in immunological study by Wikan et al.[2] is used as an important data for manipulation of the primary model by Polwiang.[1] The estimated imported Zika virus infection from Thailand is derived as shown in [Figure 1]. In fact, there are already some reports on imported Zika virus infection from Thailand, but the total number of accumulated cases is not as high as that predicted by the present mathematical model. However, it should be noted that many cases of Zika virus infection are asymptomatic.[3]
Figure 1: Estimated imported Zika virus infection from Thailand

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Conflicts of interest

There are no conflicts of interest.



 
   References Top

1.
Polwiang S. The estimation of imported dengue virus from Thailand. J Travel Med 2015;22:194-9.  Back to cited text no. 1
[PUBMED]    
2.
Wikan N, Suputtamongkol Y, Yoksan S, Smith DR, Auewarakul P. Immunological evidence of Zika virus transmission in Thailand. Asian Pac J Trop Med 2016;9:141-4.  Back to cited text no. 2
[PUBMED]    
3.
Wiwanitkit S, Wiwanitkit V, Afebrile, asymptomatic and non-thrombocytopenic Zika virus infection: Don't miss it!. Asian Pac J Trop Med. 2016;9:513.  Back to cited text no. 3
    

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Correspondence Address:
Viroj Wiwanitkit
Wiwanitkit House, Bangkhae, Bangkok
Thailand
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Source of Support: None, Conflict of Interest: None


DOI: 10.4103/1755-6783.196671

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